The internal conflict within the Bangladesh military has further complicated the situation. The military’s ability to deal with the current crisis and violence is now in doubt. These internal divisions are not only weakening the military’s effectiveness but also making it more vulnerable to external manipulation.
The rise of Jamaat-e-Islami worries India
The influence of Islamist groups such as Jamaat-e-Islami in Bangladesh has long been a cause of concern for India. These groups, with their economic resources and ideological links, pose a major threat to regional stability. The recent political turmoil has allowed these groups to consolidate their positions, which could lead to increased radicalisation activities.
Jamaat-e-Islami has played a significant role in Bangladeshi politics. The group’s involvement in violent activities, including mass bombings, in 2005 led to a government crackdown, but recent instability may have seen the group regain influence.
The conflict may spread to the northeastern states
Bangladesh’s instability and the rise of radical Islamic governments have posed challenges to India’s security and diplomatic relations. There is a danger of further strains in these relations due to the current situation. The crisis not only reflects past injustices, but also raises concerns about the possibility of wider communal and ethnic conflict that could spill over into neighbouring regions, particularly India’s sensitive northeastern states.
India’s security concerns are compounded by the possibility of Islamic groups migrating to its northeastern states, where they could fuel existing ethnic conflicts. The situation in Bangladesh may have a direct impact on India’s internal security.
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