US inflation slows to 2.9% in July, raising chances of rate cut

US inflation:US consumer prices rose by a weaker-than-expected 2.9% year-on-year in July, a slight slowdown from the 3.0% increase recorded in June. The subdued inflation data reinforces expectations that the Federal Reserve may implement a rate cut at its September meeting.

According to the Labor Department’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, monthly prices rose 0.2 percent, rebounding from a 0.1 percent drop in June and in line with economists’ forecasts.

The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 3.2% over the past year, below the 3.3% forecast. On a monthly basis, core prices rose 0.2%, compared with 0.1% in June.

This CPI release follows a lower-than-expected July producer price index (PPI) and aligns with the overall benign inflation environment. The Federal Reserve, which has kept its benchmark rate in the 5.25-5.50 percent range for more than a year, is now expected to consider a rate cut, as favorable inflation data is a key driver for such a decision, according to Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

In addition, the July payrolls report revealed slower-than-expected job growth and a rise in the unemployment rate to 4.3 percent, raising concerns about a possible slowdown in the labor market and increased risks of recession.

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