Gold prices near record highs on Fed rate cut optimism: Should you buy, sell or hold?

Gold prices dipped slightly on Monday (August 19). It was seen hovering around the key $2,500 mark as traders booked profits after the metal surged to a record high on Friday (August 16).

The recent rally was driven by expectations of a US Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September.

At 0317 GMT, spot gold was down 0.2% at $2,502.78 an ounce, while U.S. gold futures were up 0.2% at $2,541.80 an ounce.

In India, the price of 24-carat gold fell by ₹353 to ₹7,201.6 per gram on Monday (August 19).

Trends

Of gold The record rally, which took prices to a high of $2,509.65 an ounce last week, has been fueled by optimism over an anticipated rate cut by the US Federal Reserve, rising geopolitical tensions and heavy central bank buying.

These factors have pushed the price of bullion up more than 20% so far this year.

“Gold has been chasing the psychological $2,500 level for several months,” said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.

“Now that it has been reached, we are seeing natural profit-taking,” he said, as quoted by Reuters.

US economic data and Fed expectations

Recent US economic data, including stronger-than-expected retail sales and lower jobless claims, along with subdued inflation figures, have renewed confidence in the economy.

This has increased the likelihood of a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve in September, with markets pricing in a 75.5% chance of a 25 basis point cut, according to the CME FedWatch tool cited in the Reuters report.

Investor sentiment remains strong

Despite Monday’s drop, bullish sentiment in the gold market remains strong.

Holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust, the largest gold-backed ETF, rose nearly 1% last Friday.

COMEX gold speculators also significantly increased their net long positions last week.

In addition, several Chinese banks received new gold import quotas.

What should investors do?

With prices near record highs globally and MCX futures on the rise, short-term traders may consider booking profits.

However, central bank demand, potential geopolitical risks and economic uncertainty make gold an attractive long-term hedge.

Monitoring world events, in particular US Federal Reserve Policy Decisions It will be crucial in determining the next direction of gold prices.

Long-term investors may still find value in holding gold, while others may choose to wait for more clarity at the Fed’s Jackson Hole conference later this week.

Source link

Disclaimer:
The information contained in this post is for general information purposes only. We make no representations or warranties of any kind, express or implied, about the completeness, accuracy, reliability, suitability or availability with respect to the website or the information, products, services, or related graphics contained on the post for any purpose.
We respect the intellectual property rights of content creators. If you are the owner of any material featured on our website and have concerns about its use, please contact us. We are committed to addressing any copyright issues promptly and will remove any material within 2 days of receiving a request from the rightful owner.

Leave a Comment