XRP Retraces to $0.55 as On-Chain Metrics Reveal Investors’ Pain

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XRP is currently trading at $0.55, following weeks of speculation and excitement from investors expecting a sharp price increase. However, fear and uncertainty are driving the market, with Bitcoin and most altcoins trading at lower levels. This drop has affected investor sentiment in general.

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Crucial data from Santiment shows a notable shift in the outlook of XRP holders. The optimism that once drove confidence is now fading as most investors are accumulating unrealized losses. This shift in sentiment underscores growing concerns around the future of XRP, particularly in the context of broader market challenges. With the market under pressure, XRP’s prospects look increasingly uncertain.

XRP holders face unrealized losses

XRP has shown relative strength compared to other altcoins, falling 13% from its August 24 high of $0.631. However, this drop has created considerable angst among investors, reflecting the uncertainty of the broader market.

Crucial Santiment data sheds light on the situation, revealing that both the 30-day and 7-day market cap and realized value (MVRV) of XRP have turned negative. A negative MVRV ratio indicates that XRP is currently undervalued, meaning that on average, if all coins were sold at the current price, most traders would suffer losses.

XRP’s 30-day and 7-day MVRV ratios turn negative. | Source: XRP MVRV Ratio Holy

This change in MVRV ratios is significant as it suggests that the majority of XRP holders are now at risk of negative returns on their investments. The data reflects a broader trend of caution on the part of investors, particularly in light of the current market volatility. While XRP has performed relatively better than many other altcoins, the negative MVRV ratios highlight growing concerns within the investor community.

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Falling MVRV ratios serve as a crucial indicator of market sentiment, suggesting that optimism around XRP may be waning. Investors are increasingly wary of the possibility of further declines, which could exacerbate losses. While XRP has demonstrated resilience, current market conditions and negative MVRV ratios suggest that caution is warranted. The next few days will be critical for XRP holders as they navigate this challenging market environment, weighing the potential risks and rewards of holding or selling their assets.

Key support at $0.55 must hold for consolidation

XRP is currently trading at $0.559, holding just above a critical support level, the 200-period daily moving average (MA), which sits at $0.5509. This level is crucial to maintaining the bullish momentum as it has acted as a strong support, giving hope to investors who are expecting a price recovery.

XRP remains above the 1D 200 MA.
XRP remains above the 200-day moving average. | Source: XRP chart on TradingView

If the price can stay above this moving average, it could signal a possible continuation of the uptrend, which would reassure the bulls. However, if the price falls below this key indicator, it could trigger a further decline, pushing the price towards lower demand levels.

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The next major support to watch out for would be around $0.48, a critical level that the bulls must defend. Staying above the 200-day moving average is essential to maintain a positive outlook, while a break below it could signal further selling pressure. As XRP goes through this crucial phase, traders and investors are closely monitoring these levels to gauge the market’s next direction.

Featured image of Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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